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FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Seel Park
Chorley

Mossley AFC
0 - 3
Chorley

FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Mossley AFC and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mossley AFC

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Last Game: Whitby 3-3 Mossley AFC (0-0 pen.)
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Chorley

All competitions
Last Game: Chorley 2-1 Kidderminster
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 70.07%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Mossley AFC had a probability of 12.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.86%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Mossley AFC win it was 1-0 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
Mossley AFCDrawChorley
12.2% (0.090999999999999 0.09)17.72% (0.097999999999999 0.1)70.07% (-0.18300000000001 -0.18)
Both teams to score 51.44% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.97% (-0.223 -0.22)39.03% (0.22600000000001 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.65% (-0.234 -0.23)61.35% (0.239 0.24)
Mossley AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.16% (0.0020000000000024 0)42.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.84% (0.0010000000000012 0)79.16% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.01% (-0.102 -0.1)10% (0.107 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.98% (-0.241 -0.24)33.02% (0.247 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Mossley AFC 12.2%
    Chorley 70.07%
    Draw 17.72%
Mossley AFCDrawChorley
1-0 @ 3.63% (0.039 0.04)
2-1 @ 3.54% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.54% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
3-1 @ 1% (0.0059999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 12.2%
1-1 @ 8.36% (0.051 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.28% (0.045 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 17.72%
0-2 @ 11.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.86% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 9.63% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 8.72% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 7.39% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 5.02% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
1-4 @ 4.26% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-5 @ 2.31% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.96% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.8% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 4.64%
Total : 70.07%

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