National League North | Gameweek 4

Aug 24, 2024 at 3pm UK

Sands Venue Stadium

Scunthorpe
1 - 1
Chorley

Whitehall (44')
Boyce (20'), Nicholson (76'), Scales (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hall (85')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Scunthorpe United and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Scunthorpe United

All competitions

National League North

Last Game: Needham Market 0-1 Scunthorpe
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in National League North

Goals
for

Chorley

All competitions

National League North

Last Game: Chorley 1-2 Scarborough Ath
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in National League North

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Scunthorpe United	Draw	Chorley
44.09% ( 0.19)	27.14% ( 0.01)	28.76% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 48.33% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.35% (

-0.15)

56.65% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.38% (

-0.12)

77.61% (

0.12)

Scunthorpe United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.46% (

0.03)

25.53% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.61% (

0.04)

60.38% (

-0.05)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.9% (

-0.25)

35.1% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.15% (

-0.26)

71.84% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Scunthorpe United 44.09%

Chorley 28.76%

Draw 27.13%

Scunthorpe United	Draw	Chorley
1-0 @ 12.23% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 44.09%	1-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.13%	0-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.11% Total : 28.76%