Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 37.32%. A win for Marine AFC had a probability of 36.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Marine AFC win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.