Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 74.22%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 9.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.89%) and 3-0 (10.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for a Blyth Spartans win it was 0-1 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.