Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.