National League North | Gameweek 42
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Croft Park

Blyth Spartans
2 - 3
Curzon Ashton

Hooper (28'), Deverdics (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mols (54', 72', 73')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Blyth Spartans and Curzon Ashton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blyth Spartans

All competitions
Last Game: P'boro Sports 2-2 Blyth Spartans
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League North

Curzon Ashton

All competitions
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 4-1 Banbury
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.

Result
Blyth SpartansDrawCurzon Ashton
34.48% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)25.41% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)40.11% (0.124 0.12)
Both teams to score 56.03% (0.113 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.23% (0.15199999999999 0.15)47.76% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.04% (0.139 0.14)69.96% (-0.137 -0.14)
Blyth Spartans Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.32% (0.024999999999991 0.02)26.68% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06% (0.029000000000003 0.03)61.93% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.41% (0.131 0.13)23.58% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.35% (0.188 0.19)57.65% (-0.186 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Blyth Spartans 34.48%
    Curzon Ashton 40.11%
    Draw 25.41%
Blyth SpartansDrawCurzon Ashton
1-0 @ 8.31% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.49% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 34.48%
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.29% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.73% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 9.09% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.68% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.57% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.18% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.16% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.76% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.51% (0.015 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.14% (0.01 0.01)
2-4 @ 1% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 40.11%

Head to Head
Nov 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Curzon Ashton
3-1
Blyth Spartans
Mols (12', 56'), Spencer (45+1')
Hooper (90')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Blyth Spartans
2-2
Curzon Ashton
O'Donnell (17'), Deverdics (30')
Spencer (80'), Matthews (90+1')
Nov 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Curzon Ashton
0-2
Blyth Spartans
McGowan (3', 79')
May 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 41
Blyth Spartans
1-0
Curzon Ashton
McNall (15')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 21
Curzon Ashton
3-2
Blyth Spartans
Cooke (15'), Curran (31'), Mahon (50')
O'Donnell (84'), Djalo (90+1')
rhs 2.0


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