Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Hartlepool United	Draw	Scunthorpe United
29.92% ( 0.04)	23.66% ( -0.01)	46.41% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 60.24% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.56% (

0.07)

41.44% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.16% (

0.07)

63.84% (

-0.07)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.55% (

0.06)

26.44% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.38% (

0.07)

61.62% (

-0.07)

Scunthorpe United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.9% (

0.02)

18.1% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.96% (

0.03)

49.03% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Hartlepool United 29.93%

Scunthorpe United 46.41%

Draw 23.66%

Hartlepool United	Draw	Scunthorpe United
2-1 @ 7.24% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.23% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.88% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 29.93%	1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.66%	1-2 @ 9.3% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.99% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.3% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.98% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.52% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.26% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.7% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 3.66% Total : 46.41%