Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Shields win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Shields win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.