National League | Gameweek 46

Apr 20, 2024 at 12.15pm UK

Meadowbank Stadium

Dorking
3 - 4
Hartlepool

Carter (7'), Muitt (51', 77')
Blair (70')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Dieseruvwe (11', 43'), Fuller (12' og.), Grey (59')

Coverage of the National League clash between Dorking Wanderers and Hartlepool United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Rochdale 1-1 Dorking
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Hartlepool United

All competitions

Last Game: Hartlepool 1-1 Dag & Red
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.35%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.

Result
Dorking Wanderers	Draw	Hartlepool United
32.4% ( 0.58)	23.42% ( 0.31)	44.18% ( -0.89)

Both teams to score 62.45% (

-0.88)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.9% (

-1.27)

39.1% (

1.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.57% (

-1.34)

61.42% (

1.34)

Dorking Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.22% (

-0.28)

23.78% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.07% (

-0.4)

57.93% (

0.39)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.93% (

-0.86)

18.07% (

0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.02% (

-1.49)

48.98% (

1.48)

Score Analysis

Dorking Wanderers 32.4%

Hartlepool United 44.18%

Draw 23.41%

Dorking Wanderers	Draw	Hartlepool United
2-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.4%	1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.25) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.41%	1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.15% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.75% Total : 44.18%