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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Seel Park

Mossley AFC
2 - 2
Whitby

FT(HT: 0-0)
Walker (72')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Mossley AFC and Whitby Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mossley AFC

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Last Game: Eccleshill United 1-3 Mossley AFC
Wednesday, August 21 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Whitby Town

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Last Game: Whitby 1-2 York City
Wednesday, July 17 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Whitby Town win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Mossley AFC had a probability of 20.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Whitby Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.79%) and 0-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Mossley AFC win it was 2-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Mossley AFCDrawWhitby Town
20.28% (0.0010000000000012 0)21.04%58.68% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 58.8% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.44% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)38.56% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.14% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)60.86% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Mossley AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.51% (0.0040000000000049 0)32.49% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.98% (0.0040000000000013 0)69.02% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Whitby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.11% (0.0019999999999953 0)12.89% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)39.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Mossley AFC 20.28%
    Whitby Town 58.68%
    Draw 21.04%
Mossley AFCDrawWhitby Town
2-1 @ 5.42%
1-0 @ 4.71%
2-0 @ 2.65%
3-2 @ 2.08%
3-1 @ 2.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 20.28%
1-1 @ 9.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.04%
1-2 @ 9.88%
0-2 @ 8.79% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-1 @ 8.58% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 6.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 6%
2-3 @ 3.79%
1-4 @ 3.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 3.07%
2-4 @ 1.94%
1-5 @ 1.42%
0-5 @ 1.26% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 58.68%