Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 37.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Chorley win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Oxford City	Draw	Chorley
37.48% ( 0.01)	25.12% ( -0)	37.39% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 57.32% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.77% (

46.22% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.48% (

68.51% (

-0.01)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.73% (

24.26% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.37% (

0.01)

58.62% (

-0.01)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.69% (

-0)

24.31% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.31% (

-0)

58.69%

Score Analysis

Oxford City 37.48%

Chorley 37.39%

Draw 25.12%

Oxford City	Draw	Chorley
2-1 @ 8.37% 1-0 @ 8.35% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.92% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.79% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 37.48%	1-1 @ 11.81% 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.12%	1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.9% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.79% 0-3 @ 2.78% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.39% 2-4 @ 0.99% 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 37.39%