Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 59.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 17.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Oxford City win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.