National League North | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Court Place Farm

Oxford City
2 - 2
Darlington

Coyle (23'), Jones (78')
Ashby (14'), Elliott-Wheeler (57'), Carbon (61'), McEachran (74')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Forbes (18'), Main (33')
Flint (59')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Oxford City and Darlington.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford City

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Marine AFC 1-1 Oxford City
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League North

Darlington

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Darlington 1-2 Kidderminster
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 45.42%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Darlington win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Oxford CityDrawDarlington
45.42% (-0.235 -0.23)23.6% (0.335 0.33)30.97% (-0.101 -0.1)
Both teams to score 61.07% (-1.284 -1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.39% (-1.662 -1.66)40.61% (1.662 1.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37% (-1.727 -1.73)62.99% (1.726 1.73)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.83% (-0.749 -0.75)18.17% (0.749 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.84% (-1.293 -1.29)49.15% (1.291 1.29)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (-0.878 -0.88)25.37% (0.877 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.84% (-1.22 -1.22)60.16% (1.219 1.22)
Score Analysis
    Oxford City 45.42%
    Darlington 30.97%
    Draw 23.6%
Oxford CityDrawDarlington
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.029000000000002 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.405 0.41)
2-0 @ 6.7% (0.188 0.19)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.81% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.59% (-0.171 -0.17)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 45.42%
1-1 @ 10.78% (0.3 0.3)
2-2 @ 6.31% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-0 @ 4.61% (0.342 0.34)
3-3 @ 1.64% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.6%
1-2 @ 7.4% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.32% (0.32 0.32)
0-2 @ 4.34% (0.114 0.11)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 30.97%