National League | Gameweek 46

Apr 20, 2024 at 12.15pm UK

The J. Davidson Stadium

Altrincham
1 - 0
Oxford City

Linney (43' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

O'Connell (53')

Coverage of the National League clash between Altrincham and Oxford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Altrincham

All competitions

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-2 Altrincham
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Oxford City

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford City 1-3 Bromley
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 77.48%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 9.25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.55%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.7%), while for a Oxford City win it was 1-2 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.

Result
Altrincham	Draw	Oxford City
77.48% ( -0.33)	13.27% ( 0.11)	9.25% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 58.55% (

0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.78% (

0.24)

25.22% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.8% (

0.31)

45.2% (

-0.31)

Altrincham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.73% (

-0)

5.27% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.23% (

-0.01)

20.77% (

0.01)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.81% (

0.63)

38.19% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.04% (

0.6)

74.96% (

-0.6)

Score Analysis

Altrincham 77.48%

Oxford City 9.25%

Draw 13.27%

Altrincham	Draw	Oxford City
2-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 6.06% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 3.57% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.05) 6-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) 6-1 @ 1.75% 5-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.95% Total : 77.48%	1-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.25% Total : 13.27%	1-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 1.94% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.34% Total : 9.25%