Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for South Shields had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest South Shields win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Oxford City	Draw	South Shields
44.88% ( 0.32)	24.13% ( -0.13)	30.99% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 59.2% (

0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.92% (

0.49)

43.07% (

-0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.52% (

0.49)

65.47% (

-0.49)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.62% (

0.33)

19.38% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.82% (

0.55)

51.18% (

-0.55)

South Shields Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.43% (

0.12)

26.56% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.22% (

0.16)

61.78% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Oxford City 44.88%

South Shields 31%

Draw 24.12%

Oxford City	Draw	South Shields
2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.93% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.18% Total : 44.88%	1-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.12%	1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 31%