Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for South Shields had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest South Shields win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.