National League North
Gameweek
5
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-
Mark Ellis
21'
-
Mike Calveley
38'
-
Mark Ellis
51'
-
Kole Hall
81'
-
Scott Wilson
90'+4'
-
Keenan Quansah
18'
-
Jamie Proctor
41'
-
Jamie Proctor
70'
Chorley vs Southport - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Southport had a probability of 24.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
Result
Chorley
50.92%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
24.91%
▲
(+0.11)
Southport
24.17%
▼
(-0.11)
Both Teams to Score:
51.28%
▼
(-0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.98%
▼
(-0.52)
Under 2.5
51.02%
▲
(+0.53)
Over 3.5
27.12%
▼
(-0.46)
Under 3.5
72.88%
▲
(+0.46)
Over 4.5
12.73%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 4.5
87.27%
▲
(+0.31)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5
79.96%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 0.5
20.04%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 1.5
47.75%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 1.5
52.25%
▲
(+0.34)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5
64.13%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 0.5
35.87%
▲
(+0.39)
Over 1.5
27.36%
▼
(-0.39)
Under 1.5
72.64%
▲
(+0.40)
Score analysis
Chorley
50.92%
Draw
24.9%
Southport
24.17%
Chorley
1-0
@
11.55%
▲
(+0.17)
2-1 @ 9.52% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.29% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 2% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 50.92%
2-1 @ 9.52% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.29% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 2% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 50.92%
Draw
1-1
@
11.84%
▲
(+0.06)
0-0 @ 7.19% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 24.9%
0-0 @ 7.19% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 24.9%
Southport
0-1
@
7.37%
▲
(+0.08)
1-2 @ 6.07% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.17%
1-2 @ 6.07% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.17%
