Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Southport had a probability of 24.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
Chorley	Draw	Southport
50.92% ( 0)	24.91% ( 0.11)	24.17% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 51.28% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.98% (

-0.52)

51.02% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.12% (

-0.45)

72.88% (

0.46)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.96% (

-0.2)

20.04% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.75% (

-0.33)

52.25% (

0.33)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.13% (

-0.38)

35.87% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.36% (

-0.39)

72.64% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Chorley 50.92%

Southport 24.17%

Draw 24.9%

Chorley	Draw	Southport
1-0 @ 11.55% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.76% Total : 50.92%	1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.9%	0-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.78% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 24.17%