National League North | Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St James Park
Chorley

Brackley Town
0 - 2
Chorley


Lilley (22'), Lyttle (82'), O'Sullivan (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sampson (53' pen., 85' pen.)
Henley (31'), Ellis (50'), Urwin (89')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brackley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-2 Hereford
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in National League North

Chorley

All competitions
Last Game: Oxford City 2-2 Chorley
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Brackley TownDrawChorley
38.46% (0.21700000000001 0.22)26.62% (0.099 0.1)34.91% (-0.311 -0.31)
Both teams to score 52.03% (-0.36 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.09% (-0.441 -0.44)52.91% (0.44499999999999 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.48% (-0.378 -0.38)74.52% (0.381 0.38)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)26.81% (0.09 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.9% (-0.114 -0.11)62.1% (0.116 0.12)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.09% (-0.405 -0.41)28.9% (0.409 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.22% (-0.51 -0.51)64.78% (0.51300000000001 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Brackley Town 38.46%
    Chorley 34.91%
    Draw 26.62%
Brackley TownDrawChorley
1-0 @ 10.2% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.71% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.66% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 38.46%
1-1 @ 12.66% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.75% (0.135 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 9.62% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.86% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.97% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.47% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 34.91%

Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 3pm
Brackley Town
1-0
Chorley
Calder (78')
Feb 27, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Brackley Town
1-0
Chorley
Roberts (7')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Chorley
1-1
Brackley Town
Ellis (61')
Bates (41')
Roberts (90+2')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 32
Brackley Town
1-1
Chorley
Amantchi (34' pen.)
Hall (51')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Chorley
0-0
Brackley Town