FA Cup | First Round Qualifying Replays
Sep 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Turnbull Ground

Whitby
3 - 3
Mossley AFC

Walker (20', 42', 120' pen.)
FT
(aet)
Marsden (78'), Kardacz (90+5'), Barlow (116')
Whitby win 0-0 on penalties
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying Replays clash between Whitby Town and Mossley AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Mossley AFC 2-2 Whitby
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Last Game: Mossley AFC 2-2 Whitby
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Whitby Town win with a probability of 53.42%. A win for Mossley AFC has a probability of 24.58% and a draw has a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Whitby Town win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Mossley AFC win is 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.92%).

Result
Whitby TownDrawMossley AFC
53.42% (-0.893 -0.89)21.99% (0.247 0.25)24.58% (0.646 0.65)
Both teams to score 61.46% (-0.122 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.23% (-0.495 -0.5)37.77% (0.496 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.98% (-0.53 -0.53)60.02% (0.533 0.53)
Whitby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.76% (-0.453 -0.45)14.24% (0.454 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.01% (-0.888 -0.89)41.99% (0.889 0.89)
Mossley AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.67% (0.23699999999999 0.24)28.33% (-0.236 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.94% (0.295 0.3)64.06% (-0.295 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Whitby Town 53.42%
    Mossley AFC 24.59%
    Draw 21.99%
Whitby TownDrawMossley AFC
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.059 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.66% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.28% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-0 @ 4.98% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-2 @ 3.96% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.06% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.056 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-0.063 -0.06)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 53.42%
1-1 @ 9.92% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 6.1% (0.026 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.03% (0.095 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.67% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.99%
1-2 @ 6.25% (0.128 0.13)
0-1 @ 5.09% (0.153 0.15)
0-2 @ 3.21% (0.118 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.63% (0.071 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 24.59%

Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
First Round Qualifying
Mossley AFC
2-2
Whitby
Walker (72')