Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Warrington Town had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Warrington Town win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.