National League North Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Joe Nolan 23' yellowcard
  • Joe Nolan 59' redcard
  • Craig Hewitt 62' goal
  • J 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bohan Dixon 13'
  • yellowcard Matty McDonald 43'
  • yellowcard Matt Grivosti 53'
  • yellowcard Evan Gumbs 54'
  • yellowcard Jay Harris 90'+6'
  • goal Connor Woods 90'+9'

Chorley vs Warrington Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Sep 21, 2024 3.00pm
South Shields 3 - 3 Chorley
Goals scored
80
Top scorer
Mark Ellis

Warrington Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Sep 21, 2024 3.00pm
Warrington Town 1 - 1 Spennymoor
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Josh Amis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Warrington Town had a probability of 21.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Warrington Town win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result

Chorley 54.54% (+0.40)
Draw 23.63% (-0.14)
Warrington Town 21.82% (-0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.42% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.87% (+0.30)
Under 2.5 48.12% (-0.30)
Over 3.5 29.71% (+0.28)
Under 3.5 70.28% (-0.28)
Over 4.5 14.47% (+0.19)
Under 4.5 85.52% (-0.19)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5 82.47% (+0.26)
Under 0.5 17.53% (-0.26)
Over 1.5 51.94% (+0.45)
Under 1.5 48.05% (-0.44)

Warrington Town Goals

Over 0.5 63.56% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 36.44% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 26.77% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 73.22% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Chorley 54.54%
Draw 23.62%
Warrington Town 21.82%
Chorley
1-0 @ 11.12% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.78% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 9.68% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.67% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 5.62% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 2.86% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.47% (+0.05)
4-0 @ 2.45% (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.25% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 54.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.22% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 6.39% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.94% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 23.62%
Warrington Town
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.10)
1-2 @ 5.67% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.26% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 1.91% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 21.82%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 32
Feb 3, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Cantilever Park
  • Connor Woods 79' goal
  • Isaac Buckley-Ricketts 84' goal
  • goal Ollie Shenton 87'
National League North Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • goal Connor Woods 17'