Chorley
National League North | Gameweek 11
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
1 - 0
Needham Market

Hewitt (35')
Ellis (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tomlinson (68'), Valentine (77')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Needham Market.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Chorley 1-1 Warrington Town
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League North

Needham Market

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Needham Market 3-0 South Shields
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 51.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Needham Market had a probability of 23.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Needham Market win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chorley in this match.

Result
ChorleyDrawNeedham Market
51.63% (-0.139 -0.14)24.46% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)23.91% (0.197 0.2)
Both teams to score 52.38% (0.41 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.56% (0.435 0.43)49.43% (-0.437 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.52% (0.39 0.39)71.47% (-0.393 -0.39)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.86% (0.11200000000001 0.11)19.13% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.22% (0.188 0.19)50.77% (-0.19 -0.19)
Needham Market Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.77% (0.41600000000001 0.42)35.23% (-0.419 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.01% (0.431 0.43)71.98% (-0.434 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Chorley 51.62%
    Needham Market 23.91%
    Draw 24.45%
ChorleyDrawNeedham Market
1-0 @ 11.14% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.22% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.3% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.08% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.19% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.1% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 51.62%
1-1 @ 11.62% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.061 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.45%
0-1 @ 7.03% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.07% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.67% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.11% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.041 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.28% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 23.91%