Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 63.73%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 18.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.57%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for a Leicester City Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts County	Draw	Leicester City Under-21s
63.73% ( 0.04)	18.25% ( -0.04)	18.01% ( -0)

Both teams to score 65.14% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.39% (

0.18)

28.61% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.5% (

0.23)

49.49% (

-0.22)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.35% (

0.06)

8.65% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.18% (

0.15)

29.82% (

-0.15)

Leicester City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.3% (

0.11)

28.69% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.48% (

0.14)

64.52% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Notts County 63.73%

Leicester City Under-21s 18.01%

Draw 18.25%

Notts County	Draw	Leicester City Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.71% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.7% Total : 63.73%	1-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.43% Total : 18.25%	1-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.87% Total : 18.01%