Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 63.73%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 18.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.57%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for a Leicester City Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.