Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 63.89%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 17.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.49%) and 3-1 (7.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Leicester City Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.