Northampton Town
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 5, 2024 at 7pm UK
Sixfields Stadium

Northampton
3 - 0
Leicester U21s

Eyoma (30'), Dobson (70', 81')
Ireland (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Northampton Town and Leicester City Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Kettering
Saturday, November 2 at 5.30pm in FA Cup

Leicester City Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Leicester U21s 3-1 Aston Villa U21s
Friday, November 1 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 63.89%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 17.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.49%) and 3-1 (7.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Leicester City Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawLeicester City Under-21s
63.89% (0.121 0.12)18.83% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)17.29% (-0.096 -0.1)
Both teams to score 61.24% (-0.158 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.15% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)32.85% (0.115 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.45% (-0.124 -0.12)54.55% (0.13200000000001 0.13)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)9.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.44% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)32.56% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Leicester City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.89% (-0.17 -0.17)32.12% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.41% (-0.196 -0.2)68.59% (0.205 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 63.89%
    Leicester City Under-21s 17.29%
    Draw 18.83%
Northampton TownDrawLeicester City Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.49% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.47% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 7.31% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.57% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 4.24% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.82% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.46% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 1.77% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.93% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 63.89%
1-1 @ 8.3% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.15% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.61% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 18.83%
1-2 @ 4.72% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-1 @ 3.57% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.03% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.79% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 17.29%