Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 39.53% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-3 (4.98%) and 1-3 (4.91%). The likeliest Leicester City Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.