Premier League 2 - Div 1
Oct 25, 2024 at 7pm UK
Riverside Stadium

Boro U21s
4 - 2
Aston Villa U21s

Bakre (22', 24', 72'), Matthews (27' pen.)
Matthews (5'), Bakre (33'), Gitau (38'), Connor (84')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Jimoh (80', 90+2')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Middlesbrough Under-21s and Aston Villa Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke U21s 1-3 Boro U21s
Friday, October 4 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.14%) and 2-3 (5.47%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Middlesbrough Under-21sDrawAston Villa Under-21s
29.86% (0.59 0.59)19.78% (0.09 0.09)50.35% (-0.678 -0.68)
Both teams to score 75.02% (0.079000000000008 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.7% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)22.29% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
58.7% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)41.3% (0.078999999999994 0.08)
Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.16% (0.261 0.26)16.83% (-0.26 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.17% (0.458 0.46)46.83% (-0.456 -0.46)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.21% (-0.18600000000001 -0.19)9.78% (0.1881 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.47% (-0.43700000000001 -0.44)32.52% (0.439 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough Under-21s 29.86%
    Aston Villa Under-21s 50.35%
    Draw 19.78%
Middlesbrough Under-21sDrawAston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 6.08% (0.079 0.08)
3-2 @ 4.2% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.61% (0.077 0.08)
1-0 @ 2.93% (0.037 0.04)
2-0 @ 2.61% (0.055 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.87% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.55% (0.046 0.05)
4-3 @ 1.45% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 29.86%
2-2 @ 7.06% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-1 @ 6.82% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 3.25% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 1.65% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 19.78%
1-2 @ 7.93% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 6.14% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-3 @ 5.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.45% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-1 @ 3.83% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 3.57% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.45% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-4 @ 3.18% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-4 @ 2% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-4 @ 1.89% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.66% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-5 @ 1.48% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-5 @ 0.93% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 50.35%

Head to Head
Feb 16, 2024 7pm
Aston Villa U21s
4-0
Boro U21s
Moore (46'), Patterson (49'), Jimoh (65', 90+4')

Fenton (36')
Mar 6, 2023 7pm
Boro U21s
2-3
Aston Villa U21s
Fenton (6'), Sivi (31')
Afoka (29'), Wilson (32'), Revan (55' pen.)
Aug 5, 2022 6pm
Aston Villa U21s
3-3
Boro U21s
Wright (16'), El Ghazi (29'), Young (38')
Wright (42'), Chrisene (68'), Lindley (86')
Collins (56'), Kavanagh (63'), Bilongo (69')
Dodds (35')