Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win with a probability of 56.25%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.88%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s would win this match.