Premier League 2 - Div 1
Sep 1, 2024 at 1pm UK
Rockliffe Park

Boro U21s
1 - 3
Chelsea U21s

Lennon (45+1')
Samuels (10'), Cartwright (55'), Lindo (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Morgan (15', 17', 55')
Dyer (37'), McMahon (44'), George (63')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Middlesbrough Under-21s and Chelsea Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Sunderland U21s 3-2 Boro U21s
Monday, August 26 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Chelsea Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Chelsea U21s 1-1 Everton U21s
Friday, August 23 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 56.72%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 24.17% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.89%) and 0-2 (5.44%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Middlesbrough Under-21sDrawChelsea Under-21s
24.17% (-0.317 -0.32)19.1% (0.050000000000001 0.05)56.72% (0.266 0.27)
Both teams to score 72.1% (-0.607 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.07% (-0.604 -0.6)23.92% (0.603 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.5% (-0.808 -0.81)43.5% (0.808 0.81)
Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.08% (-0.554 -0.55)20.92% (0.553 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.35% (-0.871 -0.87)53.64% (0.872 0.87)
Chelsea Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.17% (-0.13 -0.13)8.82% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.75% (-0.312 -0.31)30.25% (0.313 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough Under-21s 24.18%
    Chelsea Under-21s 56.72%
    Draw 19.1%
Middlesbrough Under-21sDrawChelsea Under-21s
2-1 @ 5.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.47% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-0 @ 2.89% (0.07 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.86% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 2.26% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1.1% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 24.18%
1-1 @ 7.01% (0.128 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.66% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-3 @ 2.81% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-0 @ 1.85% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 19.1%
1-2 @ 8.51% (0.105 0.11)
1-3 @ 6.89% (0.044 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.44% (0.157 0.16)
2-3 @ 5.39% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
0-1 @ 4.48% (0.156 0.16)
0-3 @ 4.4% (0.102 0.1)
1-4 @ 4.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 3.27% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-4 @ 2.67% (0.046 0.05)
1-5 @ 2.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.71% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-5 @ 1.59% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-5 @ 1.3% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 4.87%
Total : 56.72%

Head to Head
Feb 23, 2024 1pm
Boro U21s
1-3
Chelsea U21s
Finch (34')
Traore (27')
Washington (84'), Castledine (87'), Stutter (89')