Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-21s win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 38.93% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (4.9%) and 2-3 (4.61%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa Under-21s	Draw	Newcastle United Under-21s
38.93% ( 0.15)	21.36% ( 0.03)	39.71% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 72.03% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.74% (

-0.16)

27.26% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.19% (

-0.2)

47.82% (

0.2)

Aston Villa Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.72% (

-0.01)

15.28% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.02% (

-0.02)

43.98% (

0.02)

Newcastle United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.02% (

-0.13)

14.98% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.58% (

-0.25)

43.42% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa Under-21s 38.93%

Newcastle United Under-21s 39.71%

Draw 21.36%

Aston Villa Under-21s	Draw	Newcastle United Under-21s
2-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.56% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.14% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.09% Total : 38.93%	1-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 7.28% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.75% Total : 21.36%	1-2 @ 7.75% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.9% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.25% Total : 39.71%