Premier League 2 - Div 1

Sep 27, 2024 at 7pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City U21s
4 - 1
Aston Villa U21s

Lawrence (18'), Alfa-Ruprecht (26'), Dickson (36'), Oboavwoduo (85')
Heskey (70')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Moore (72')
Katsukunya (30')

Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Manchester City Under-21s and Aston Villa Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City Under-21s

All competitions

Premier League 2

Last Game: Man Utd U21s 1-3 Man City U21s
Saturday, September 21 at 12pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Goals
for

Aston Villa Under-21s

All competitions

Premier League 2

Last Game: Aston Villa U21s 2-1 Blackburn U21s
Saturday, September 21 at 12pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 38.86% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-2 (5.19%) and 3-1 (4.99%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Manchester City Under-21s	Draw	Aston Villa Under-21s
41.03% ( 0.17)	20.11% ( -0.05)	38.86% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 77.18% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

79.2% (

0.23)

20.8% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

60.77% (

0.32)

39.23% (

-0.32)

Manchester City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.2% (

0.15)

11.8% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.99% (

0.32)

37.01% (

-0.32)

Aston Villa Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.5% (

0.06)

12.5% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.51% (

0.12)

38.49% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Manchester City Under-21s 41.03%

Aston Villa Under-21s 38.86%

Draw 20.11%

Manchester City Under-21s	Draw	Aston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 7% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.4% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.97% Total : 41.03%	2-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.01) 1-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.03) 4-4 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.11%	1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 5.05% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.72% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 3.6% Total : 38.86%