Premier League 2 - Div 1
Aug 23, 2024 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Emmanuel Ilesanmi 3' goal
  • Lennon Wheeldon 38' goal
  • Tristan Gill 45'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Jacob Wright 45'
  • yellowcard Jahmal Simpson-Pussey 50'
  • goal Matthew Hendersson-Hall 80'
  • yellowcard Lakyle Samuel 85'
  • goal Matty Warhurst 86'
  • redcard Lakyle Samuel 90'

Derby County Under-21s vs Manchester City Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Aug 16, 2024 6.00pm
Aston Villa U21s 3 - 1 Derby U21s
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Lennon Wheeldon

Manchester City Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Aug 17, 2024 2.00pm
Liverpool U21s 3 - 1 Man City U21s
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Divin Mubama

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 59.62%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 21.28% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.22%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.

Result

Derby County Under-21s 21.28% (+0.71)
Draw 19.1% (+0.28)
Manchester City Under-21s 59.62% (-0.98)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.9% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 72.42% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 27.58% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 51.79% (-0.42)
Under 3.5 48.22% (+0.42)
Over 4.5 32.4% (-0.39)
Under 4.5 67.6% (+0.40)

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 74.84% (+0.38)
Under 0.5 25.16% (-0.38)
Over 1.5 40.12% (+0.52)
Under 1.5 59.88% (-0.52)

Manchester City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 90.73% (-0.32)
Under 0.5 9.27% (+0.32)
Over 1.5 68.68% (-0.76)
Under 1.5 31.32% (+0.76)

Score analysis

Derby County Under-21s 21.28%
Draw 19.1%
Manchester City Under-21s 59.62%
Derby County Under-21s
2-1 @ 5.28% (+0.15)
1-0 @ 3.22% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.89% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 2.43% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 2.22% (+0.10)
3-0 @ 1.02% (-95.88)
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 21.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.66% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 6.28% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 2.33% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 2.29% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 19.1%
Manchester City Under-21s
1-2 @ 9.1% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 7.22% (-0.10)
0-2 @ 6.6% (-0.07)
0-1 @ 5.55% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 5.23% (-0.13)
2-3 @ 4.98% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 4.29% (-0.12)
0-4 @ 3.11% (-0.13)
2-4 @ 2.96% (-0.05)
1-5 @ 2.04% (-0.09)
0-5 @ 1.48% (-0.08)
2-5 @ 1.41% (-0.05)
3-4 @ 1.36% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 59.62%

Head to Head

Premier League 2 - Div 1
Oct 28, 2023 12.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Dajaune Brown 14' goal
  • Dajaune Brown 39' goal
  • Daniel Cox 62' yellowcard
  • Jaydan Davidson 70' goal
  • Tony Weston 90' goal
  • goal Justin Oboavwoduo 21'
  • goal Emilio Lawrence 50'
  • yellowcard Lakyle Samuel 58'
  • yellowcard Michael Okeke 75'