Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 54.3%. A win for Blackburn Rovers Under-21s had a probability of 27.08% and a draw had a probability of 18.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.39%) and 3-2 (5.8%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aston Villa Under-21s in this match.

Result
Aston Villa Under-21s	Draw	Blackburn Rovers Under-21s
54.3% ( -0.32)	18.62% ( 0.14)	27.08% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 77.31% (

-0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

81.27% (

-0.53)

18.72% (

0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

63.75% (

-0.78)

36.25% (

0.78)

Aston Villa Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.31% (

-0.24)

7.69% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.59% (

-0.62)

27.41% (

0.61)

Blackburn Rovers Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.75% (

-0.22)

16.25% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.22% (

-0.4)

45.78% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa Under-21s 54.3%

Blackburn Rovers Under-21s 27.08%

Draw 18.62%

Aston Villa Under-21s	Draw	Blackburn Rovers Under-21s
2-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.1) 4-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.05) 5-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.06) 5-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 5.14% Total : 54.3%	2-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.04) 1-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.06) 4-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 18.62%	1-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.97% Total : 27.08%