Premier League 2 - Div 1
Aug 30, 2024 at 7pm UK
Pride Park Stadium

Derby U21s
1 - 0
Newcastle U21s

Wheeldon (9')
Moloney (78'), Thompson (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Murphy (39'), Huntley (73')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Derby County Under-21s and Newcastle United Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Derby U21s 2-3 Man City U21s
Friday, August 23 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Newcastle United Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Spurs U21s 0-1 Newcastle U21s
Sunday, August 25 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-21s win with a probability of 49.79%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.16%) and 0-2 (5.26%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Derby County Under-21sDrawNewcastle United Under-21s
29.49% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)20.71% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)49.79% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 71.08% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.82% (0.00099999999999056 0)27.17% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.29% (0.0039999999999978 0)47.7% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.45% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)19.54% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.55% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)51.44% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Newcastle United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.35% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)11.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.3% (0.021999999999998 0.02)36.69% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Derby County Under-21s 29.5%
    Newcastle United Under-21s 49.79%
    Draw 20.71%
Derby County Under-21sDrawNewcastle United Under-21s
2-1 @ 6.52% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.82% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-0 @ 3.72% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-1 @ 3.55% (-0.004 -0)
2-0 @ 3.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.65% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
4-3 @ 1.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 29.5%
1-1 @ 7.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 7.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 2.74%
0-0 @ 2.28% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 20.71%
1-2 @ 8.59% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-3 @ 6.16% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 5.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 4.89% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.77% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 3.31% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 2.7% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-4 @ 2.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-4 @ 1.47%
1-5 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
2-5 @ 1.16% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 49.79%

Head to Head
Apr 24, 2023 7pm
Derby U21s
1-4
Newcastle U21s
Robinson (72')
Miley (30'), Diallo (44' pen.), Miley (57'), Ndiweni (63')
Aug 26, 2022 7pm
Newcastle U21s
4-0
Derby U21s
Stephenson (8', 58'), Crossley (17', 64')

Nunn (27')
rhs 2.0


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