Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 69.69%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 14.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.89%), while for an Aston Villa Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Aston Villa Under-21s
69.69% ( -0.01)	15.63% ( 0.02)	14.68% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 68.1% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

78% (

-0.12)

21.99% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

59.11% (

-0.16)

40.88% (

0.17)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.18% (

-0.03)

5.82% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

77.62% (

-0.08)

22.37% (

0.09)

Aston Villa Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.31% (

-0.1)

27.68% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.76% (

-0.13)

63.24% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 69.69%

Aston Villa Under-21s 14.68%

Draw 15.63%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Aston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.93% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.5% 5-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.18% ( -0) 6-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.37% Total : 69.69%	1-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.58% Total : 15.63%	1-2 @ 3.78% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 3.58% Total : 14.68%