League One

League One | Gameweek 5

Oct 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

LNER Stadium

Lincoln
2 - 1
Northampton

Hamer (18'), Ring (88')
House (43'), Draper (89'), Wickens (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Fosu (2')
Baldwin (17'), Brady (18'), Roberts (35'), McGeehan (62'), Guthrie (90+3'), Guinness-Walker (90+4')
Roberts (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Stockport
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Northampton Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Northampton 3-0 Crawley
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 51.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 23.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln City	Draw	Northampton Town
51.44% ( 0.75)	25.39% ( 0.08)	23.17% ( -0.83)

Both teams to score 48.77% (

-1.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.22% (

-1.04)

53.78% (

1.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.74% (

-0.88)

75.26% (

0.88)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.07% (

-0.1)

20.92% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.34% (

-0.16)

53.66% (

0.17)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.68% (

-1.34)

38.32% (

1.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.92% (

-1.31)

75.07% (

1.32)

Score Analysis

Lincoln City 51.44%

Northampton Town 23.17%

Draw 25.39%

Lincoln City	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 12.54% ( 0.47) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 2% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.46% Total : 51.44%	1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.39%	0-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.55% Total : 23.17%