League One Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT LNER Stadium
  • Bailey Cadamarteri 1' goal
  • goal Keshi Anderson 14'
  • yellowcard Christoph Klarer 47'
  • yellowcard Alex Cochrane 50'
  • goal Willum Thor Willumsson 52'
  • goal Keshi Anderson 79'
  • yellowcard Tomoki Iwata 85'

Lincoln City vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
Lincoln 2 - 1 Leyton Orient
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
James Collins

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
Charlton 1 - 0 Birmingham
Goals scored
84
Top scorer
Jay Stansfield

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result

Lincoln City 29.21% (-0.06)
Draw 26.31% (-0.03)
Birmingham City 44.48% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.05% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.72% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 53.27% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 25.17% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 74.82% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 11.47% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 88.53% (-0.04)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5 67.03% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 32.97% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 30.44% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 69.55% (+0.01)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 76.16% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 23.84% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 41.98% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 58.02% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Lincoln City 29.21%
Draw 26.31%
Birmingham City 44.47%
Lincoln City
1-0 @ 8.72% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 6.94% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.84% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.57% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.84% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.79% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 29.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.5% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.86% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.97% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.31%
Birmingham City
0-1 @ 11.26% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.97% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.08% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.29% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.86% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.38% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.54% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.38% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 44.47%