League One

League One | Gameweek 12

Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK

LNER Stadium

Lincoln
1 - 3
Birmingham

Cadamarteri (1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Anderson (14', 79'), Thor Willumsson (52')
Klarer (47'), Cochrane (50'), Iwata (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-2 Lincoln
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Birmingham City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-4 Birmingham
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln City	Draw	Birmingham City
29.21% ( -0.05)	26.31% ( -0.02)	44.48% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 51.05% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.72% (

0.06)

53.27% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.17% (

0.05)

74.82% (

-0.06)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.03% (

-0.01)

32.97% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.44% (

-0.01)

69.55% (

0.01)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.16% (

0.07)

23.84% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.98% (

0.1)

58.02% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Lincoln City 29.21%

Birmingham City 44.47%

Draw 26.31%

Lincoln City	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.57% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.21%	1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.31%	0-1 @ 11.26% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 44.47%