League One

League One | Gameweek 14

Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK

Sixfields Stadium

Northampton
3 - 0
Crawley

Fosu (16'), Williams (30' og.), Pinnock (55')
Fox (84')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Darcy (75'), Williams (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Stockport 1-1 Northampton
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Crawley Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Crawley 3-0 Lincoln
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton Town	Draw	Crawley Town
36.21% ( -0.01)	25.2% ( -0)	38.59% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 57% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.39% (

0.03)

46.61% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.12% (

0.02)

68.88% (

-0.02)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.86% (

0.01)

25.14% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.15% (

0.01)

59.85% (

-0.01)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.15% (

0.02)

23.85% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.96% (

0.03)

58.04% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Northampton Town 36.21%

Crawley Town 38.59%

Draw 25.19%

Northampton Town	Draw	Crawley Town
1-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.19% 2-0 @ 5.72% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.63% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.78% Total : 36.21%	1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.19%	0-1 @ 8.6% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.5% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.16% 1-3 @ 4.06% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 38.59%