League One Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Tariqe Fosu 16' goal
  • Jay Williams 30' goal
  • Mitchell Pinnock 55' goal
  • Ben Fox 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ronan Darcy 75'
  • yellowcard Jay Williams 84'

Northampton Town vs Crawley Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
Stockport 1 - 1 Northampton
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Cameron McGeehan

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last game
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
Crawley 3 - 0 Lincoln
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Rushian Hepburn-Murphy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result

Northampton Town 36.21% (-0.01)
Draw 25.2% (-0.01)
Crawley Town 38.59% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

57% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.39% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 46.61% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 31.12% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 68.88% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 15.45% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 84.55% (-0.02)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 74.86% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 25.14% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 40.15% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 59.85% (-0.02)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5 76.15% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 23.85% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 41.96% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 58.04% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Northampton Town 36.21%
Draw 25.19%
Crawley Town 38.59%
Northampton Town
1-0 @ 8.28% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.19%
2-0 @ 5.72% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.77% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.7% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.63% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 36.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.86% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.87% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.19%
Crawley Town
0-1 @ 8.6% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.5% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.16%
1-3 @ 4.06% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.94% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.81% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.46% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 38.59%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jack Sowerby 79' goal
League Two Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT The People's Pension Stadium
  • James Balagizi 4' goal
  • James Balagizi 61' goal
  • goal Sam Hoskins 13'
  • goal Sam Hoskins 23'
  • goal Kieron Bowie 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Danny Hylton 90'+6'
League Two Gameweek 26
Jan 8, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Fraser Horsfall 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joel Lynch 9'
  • goal Tom Nichols 41'
  • yellowcard Sam Ashford 87'
League Two Gameweek 5
Aug 28, 2021 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jack Powell 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dylan Connolly 90'
League Two Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2019 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nathan Ferguson 27' goal
  • Beryly Lubala 62' goal
  • Ollie Palmer 80' goal
  • Mason Bloomfield 84' goal
  • yellowcard Alan McCormack 44'
  • yellowcard Scott Wharton 75'
League Two Gameweek 10
Sep 21, 2019 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Chris Lines 15' goal
  • Shaun McWilliams 64' goal
  • Andrew Williams 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Doherty 49'
  • goal Ashley Nathaniel-George 70'
  • goal Joe Martin 95' (OG)