League One

League One | Gameweek 12

Oct 19, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

Select Car Leasing Stadium

Reading
4 - 1
Crawley

Mbengue (20'), Wing (40'), Savage (65'), Smith (73')
Mbengue (78')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Forster (30')
Anderson (36'), Camara (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Reading and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions

Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Reading
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Crawley Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Crawley 3-5 Shrewsbury
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
Reading	Draw	Crawley Town
45.48% ( -0)	23.61%	30.9% ( 0)

Both teams to score 60.99% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.29% (

-0)

40.7% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.91%

63.08% (

-0)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.81% (

-0)

18.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.82% (

-0)

49.17%

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.54% (

-0)

25.45% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.71%

60.28% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Reading 45.48%

Crawley Town 30.9%

Draw 23.61%

Reading	Draw	Crawley Town
2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.89% 2-0 @ 6.72% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.23% 3-0 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 3.58% 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.63% 4-2 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.65% Total : 45.48%	1-1 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 6.3% 0-0 @ 4.63% 3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.61%	1-2 @ 7.39% 0-1 @ 6.33% 0-2 @ 4.33% 1-3 @ 3.37% 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 1.15% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.5% Total : 30.9%