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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Reading had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Reading |
| 42.46% ( | 25.23% ( | 32.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.98% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.45% ( | 47.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.24% ( | 69.75% ( |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.66% ( | 22.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.18% ( | 55.81% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.07% ( | 27.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.45% ( | 63.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotherham United | Draw | Reading |
| 1-0 @ 9.35% ( 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 2-0 @ 7.01% ( 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 3-0 @ 3.5% ( 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 4-2 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.29% Total : 42.46% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 3-3 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.96% ( 1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0-2 @ 5.07% ( 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 1-4 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.82% Total : 32.31% |