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League One | Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
New York Stadium
Reading logo

Rotherham
2 - 1
Reading

Nombe (49'), Odofin (56')
James (60'), Dawson (77'), Nombe (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Wing (26', 26')
Garcia (44'), Ehibhaimha (47'), Smith (57'), Craig (83')
Ehibhaimha (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Rotherham United and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Rotherham
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 3-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, October 1 at 8pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Reading had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawReading
42.46% (0.025000000000006 0.03)25.23% (0.009999999999998 0.01)32.31% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 55.98% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.45% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)47.55% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.24% (-0.061 -0.06)69.75% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)22.33% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.18% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)55.81% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.07% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)27.92% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.45% (-0.073 -0.07)63.54% (0.068000000000005 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 42.46%
    Reading 32.31%
    Draw 25.23%
Rotherham UnitedDrawReading
1-0 @ 9.35% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.94% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.01% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 42.46%
1-1 @ 11.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 7.96% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.61% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 32.31%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Reading

Rotherham United
42.9%
Draw
14.3%
Reading
42.9%
14
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 32
Reading
2-1
Rotherham
Carroll (52'), Fornah (90')
Peltier (37')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Rotherham
4-0
Reading
Wood (7'), Washington (15'), Lindsay (18'), Ogbene (45+2')

Yiadom (57'), Long (85')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 33
Rotherham
0-1
Reading

MacDonald (64'), Wiles (85'), Olosunde (90')
Morrison (26')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 7
Reading
3-0
Rotherham
Meite (41', 79'), Joao (90+2' pen.)

Wood (90'), Ihiekwe (90+2')
Feb 23, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 34
Reading
1-1
Rotherham
Ejaria (31')
Swift (54')
Ajayi (79')
Mattock (50'), Williams (59'), Vaulks (89')