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League One | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Burton Albion

Reading
3 - 1
Burton Albion

Campbell (23', 42'), Smith (82')
Ehibhaimha (50'), Savage (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Orsi (84')
Willis (41'), Watt (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Reading and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 2-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 3-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One

We said: Reading 2-0 Burton Albion

Reading have some momentum courtesy of their last triumph and will back themselves to see off the threat of a struggling Burton side. We fully expect the home side to collect maximum points in front of their fans for the second game running. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawBurton Albion
47.14% (-3.87 -3.87) 24.63% (0.454 0.45) 28.23% (3.419 3.42)
Both teams to score 55.76% (1.531 1.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.17% (0.62 0.62)46.83% (-0.617 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.92% (0.577 0.58)69.08% (-0.57300000000001 -0.57)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.06% (-1.325 -1.33)19.94% (1.329 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.91% (-2.183 -2.18)52.09% (2.187 2.19)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.65% (3.018 3.02)30.35% (-3.014 -3.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.46% (3.452 3.45)66.54% (-3.448 -3.45)
Score Analysis
    Reading 47.14%
    Burton Albion 28.23%
    Draw 24.63%
ReadingDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 9.76% (-0.683 -0.68)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.254 -0.25)
2-0 @ 7.87% (-0.91 -0.91)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.358 -0.36)
3-0 @ 4.23% (-0.691 -0.69)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.237 -0.24)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.363 -0.36)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 47.14%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 6.05% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.305 0.31)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.63%
0-1 @ 7.22% (0.399 0.4)
1-2 @ 6.94% (0.647 0.65)
0-2 @ 4.3% (0.561 0.56)
1-3 @ 2.76% (0.455 0.46)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.288 0.29)
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.341 0.34)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 28.23%

How you voted: Reading vs Burton Albion

Reading
72.7%
Draw
15.2%
Burton Albion
12.1%
33
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Burton Albion
3-2
Reading
Bennett (5'), Carayol (11'), Kamwa (42')
Bennett (75'), Ola-Adebomi (90+7')
Wing (34'), Smith (59' pen.)
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Reading
0-0
Burton Albion
McIntyre (44')
Baah (45+12'), Hamer (50'), Seddon (66'), Powell (90+2')
Jan 30, 2018 7.45pm
Burton Albion
1-3
Reading
Akins (51' pen.)
Turner (29'), Buxton (38'), McFadzean (86')
Dadi Bodvarsson (20', 68'), Gunter (57')
Moore (27'), Dadi Bodvarsson (68'), Ilori (71')
Dec 23, 2017 3pm
May 7, 2017 12pm
Burton Albion
2-4
Reading
Turner (69'), Woodrow (72')
Irvine (77')
Mendes (3'), Obita (21'), Kermorgant (64'), Grabban (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham9711179822
2Wrexham106221881020
3Mansfield TownMansfield96211711620
4Lincoln CityLincoln9531158718
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe95221713417
6Stockport CountyStockport9441137616
7Exeter CityExeter9513106416
8Charlton AthleticCharlton10514109116
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield105051411315
10Blackpool104331716115
11Barnsley104331515015
12Stevenage1042487114
13Bolton WanderersBolton94231515014
14Peterborough UnitedPeterborough104241618-214
15Wigan AthleticWigan1034395413
16Reading94141314-113
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham10343911-213
18Bristol Rovers104151316-313
19Leyton Orient102261014-48
20Northampton TownNorthampton92251117-68
21Crawley TownCrawley9216513-87
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury10127817-95
23Burton Albion90451019-94
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge9018617-111


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