League One Gameweek 9
Reading
Oct 1, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
Burton Albion
  • Chem Campbell 23' goal
  • Chem Campbell 42' goal
  • Kelvin Ehibhaimha 50' yellowcard
  • Sam Smith 82' goal
  • Charlie Savage 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dylan Willis 41'
  • yellowcard Elliot Watt 81'
  • goal Danilo Orsi 84'

Reading vs Burton Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions
Last game
Sep 28, 2024 12.30pm
Reading 2 - 1 Huddersfield
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Harvey Knibbs

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Sep 28, 2024 3.00pm
Blackpool 3 - 0 Burton Albion
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Rumarn Burrell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result

Reading 47.14% ▼ (-3.88)
Draw 24.63% ▲ (+0.46)
Burton Albion 28.23% ▲ (+3.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.76% ▲ (+1.54)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.17% ▲ (+0.62)
Under 2.5 46.83% ▼ (-0.62)
Over 3.5 30.92% ▲ (+0.58)
Under 3.5 69.08% ▼ (-0.58)
Over 4.5 15.31% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 4.5 84.69% ▼ (-0.41)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5 80.06% ▼ (-1.33)
Under 0.5 19.94% ▲ (+1.33)
Over 1.5 47.91% ▼ (-2.19)
Under 1.5 52.09% ▲ (+2.19)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 69.65% ▲ (+3.02)
Under 0.5 30.35% ▼ (-3.02)
Over 1.5 33.46% ▲ (+3.46)
Under 1.5 66.54% ▼ (-3.45)

Score analysis

Reading 47.14%
Draw 24.63%
Burton Albion 28.23%
Reading
1-0 @ 9.76% ▼ (-0.69)
2-1 @ 9.38% ▼ (-0.26)
2-0 @ 7.87% ▼ (-0.91)
3-1 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.36)
3-0 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.70)
3-2 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.24)
4-0 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.37)
4-2 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 47.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.63% ▲ (+0.17)
0-0 @ 6.05% ▼ (-0.16)
2-2 @ 5.59% ▲ (+0.31)
3-3 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.63%
Burton Albion
0-1 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.40)
1-2 @ 6.94% ▲ (+0.65)
0-2 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.57)
1-3 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.46)
2-3 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.29)
0-3 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.35)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 28.23%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 45
Burton Albion
Apr 20, 2024 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 3 1
FT Pirelli Stadium
Reading
  • Mason Bennett 5' goal
  • Mustapha Carayol 11' goal
  • Bobby Kamwa 42' goal
  • Mason Bennett 75' yellowcard
  • Ademola Ola-Adebomi 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Lewis Wing 34'
  • goal Sam Smith 59'
League One Gameweek 10
Reading
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
Burton Albion
  • Tom McIntyre 44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tom Hamer 50'
  • yellowcard Kwadwo Baah 45'+12'
  • yellowcard Steve Seddon 66'
  • yellowcard Joe Powell 90'+2'
Championship
Burton Albion
Jan 30, 2018 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Reading
  • Ben Turner 29' yellowcard
  • Jake Buxton 38' yellowcard
  • Lucas Akins 51' goal
  • Kyle McFadzean 86' yellowcard
  • goal Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 20'
  • yellowcard Liam Moore 27'
  • goal Chris Gunter 57'
  • goal Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 68'
  • yellowcard Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 68'
  • yellowcard Tiago Ilori 71'
Championship
Reading
Dec 23, 2017 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Burton Albion
  • Modou Barrow 76' goal
  • goal Tom Flanagan 40'
  • yellowcard Luke Murphy 55'
  • goal Tom Naylor 81'
Championship
Burton Albion
May 7, 2017 12.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 2
FT
Reading
  • Ben Turner 69' goal
  • Cauley Woodrow 72' goal
  • Jackson Irvine 77' yellowcard
  • goal Joseph Mendes 3'
  • goal Jordan Obita 21'
  • goal Yann Kermorgant 64'
  • goal Lewis Grabban 85'
Championship
Reading
Nov 19, 2016 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Burton Albion
  • Dominic Samuel 22' goal
  • Danny Williams 29' goal
  • Dominic Samuel 63' yellowcard
  • Garath McCleary 64' yellowcard
  • John Brayford 77' goal
  • Paul McShane 93' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Turner 44'

Form Data

Reading 2 - 1 Huddersfield
Bolton 5 - 2 Reading
Reading 0 - 1 Leyton Orient
Reading 2 - 0 Charlton
Wrexham 3 - 0 Reading
Reading 3 - 1 West Ham U21s
Blackpool 3 - 0 Burton Albion
Burton Albion 1 - 2 Notts County
Burton Albion 1 - 2 Barnsley
Rotherham 2 - 2 Burton Albion
Northampton 0 - 0 Burton Albion
Burton Albion 0 - 0 Stevenage