League One

League One | Gameweek 9

Oct 1, 2024 at 8pm UK

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Reading
3 - 1
Burton Albion

Campbell (23', 42'), Smith (82')
Ehibhaimha (50'), Savage (85')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Orsi (84')
Willis (41'), Watt (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Reading and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Reading 2-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Burton Albion

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Blackpool 3-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
Reading	Draw	Burton Albion
47.14% ( -3.87)	24.63% ( 0.45)	28.23% ( 3.42)

Both teams to score 55.76% (

1.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.17% (

0.62)

46.83% (

-0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.92% (

0.58)

69.08% (

-0.57)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.06% (

-1.33)

19.94% (

1.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.91% (

-2.18)

52.09% (

2.19)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.65% (

3.02)

30.35% (

-3.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.46% (

3.45)

66.54% (

-3.45)

Score Analysis

Reading 47.14%

Burton Albion 28.23%

Draw 24.63%

Reading	Draw	Burton Albion
1-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.68) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.91) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.36) 3-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.69) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.24) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.36) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.91% Total : 47.14%	1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.31) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.63%	0-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.65) 0-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.56) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.46) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.29) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.34) Other @ 3.09% Total : 28.23%