League One

League One | Gameweek 13

Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
3 - 0
Lincoln

Swan (46'), Darcy (73'), Hepburn-Murphy (90+5')
Ibrahim (43'), Holohan (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

McGrandles (45+2'), O'Connor (81'), Roughan (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Reading 4-1 Crawley
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Lincoln City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Lincoln 1-3 Birmingham
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 52.85%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 24.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Lincoln City
24.47% ( 1.99)	22.68% ( 1)	52.85% ( -2.98)

Both teams to score 58.89% (

-0.99)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.89% (

-2.44)

41.11% (

2.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.49% (

-2.53)

63.51% (

2.53)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.77% (

0.32)

30.23% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.6% (

0.38)

66.4% (

-0.37)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.4% (

-1.81)

15.6% (

1.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.42% (

-3.47)

44.58% (

3.48)

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 24.47%

Lincoln City 52.85%

Draw 22.68%

Crawley Town	Draw	Lincoln City
2-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.4) 1-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.65) 2-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.41) 3-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.18) Other @ 3.02% Total : 24.47%	1-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.59) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.51) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.68%	1-2 @ 9.74% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.42) 0-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 6.03% ( -0.45) 0-3 @ 5.04% ( -0.42) 2-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.23) 1-4 @ 2.8% ( -0.41) 0-4 @ 2.34% ( -0.36) 2-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.23) 1-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.23) Other @ 3.68% Total : 52.85%