League Two

League Two | Gameweek 19

Dec 7, 2024 at 3pm UK

Mazuma Stadium

Morecambe
0 - 3
Grimsby Town

Lewis (13'), Williams (32'), White (45+1'), Brown (88')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Obikwu (26', 39'), Rose (90+1')
Artell (14'), Thompson (28'), Rodgers (65'), Rose (80')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Morecambe and Grimsby Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Tranmere 2-2 Morecambe
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Grimsby Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Grimsby Town 5-2 Accrington
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
Morecambe	Draw	Grimsby Town
33.1% ( -0.09)	26.83% ( 0.07)	40.07% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 51.04% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.98% (

-0.3)

54.02% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.54% (

-0.25)

75.45% (

0.25)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.38% (

-0.21)

30.62% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.14% (

-0.25)

66.85% (

0.25)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.56% (

-0.13)

26.43% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.39% (

-0.17)

61.6% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Morecambe 33.1%

Grimsby Town 40.07%

Draw 26.82%

Morecambe	Draw	Grimsby Town
1-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.67% 3-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.11% Total : 33.1%	1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.82%	0-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 40.07%