League Two

League Two | Gameweek 16

Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
0 - 0
Grimsby Town

Wildig (63'), Baker (71'), Whitmore (78')

McJannett (58'), Green (65'), Thompson (78'), Rodgers (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Newport County and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Reading 3-0 Newport
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Grimsby Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Chesterfield 3-2 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Grimsby Town
32.85% ( 0.16)	25.23% ( 0.06)	41.93% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 56.19% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.65% (

-0.23)

47.35% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.43% (

-0.21)

69.57% (

0.2)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.51% (

-0.01)

27.48% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.02% (

-0.01)

62.98% (

0.01)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.49% (

-0.2)

22.5% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.93% (

-0.31)

56.07% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Newport County 32.85%

Grimsby Town 41.93%

Draw 25.22%

Newport County	Draw	Grimsby Town
1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.85%	1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.22%	0-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 41.93%