EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Nov 12, 2024 at 7pm UK

Technique Stadium

Chesterfield
3 - 2
Grimsby Town

Berry (8', 58'), Madden (39')
Naylor (70')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Cass (18'), Gardner (47')
Cribb (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Chesterfield and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Chesterfield 0-3 Accrington
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Grimsby Town

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 52.8%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 24.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
Chesterfield	Draw	Grimsby Town
52.8% ( 1.88)	22.72% ( -0.22)	24.48% ( -1.67)

Both teams to score 58.77% (

-1.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.72% (

-0.55)

41.27% (

0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.33% (

-0.56)

63.67% (

0.56)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.32% (

0.46)

15.67% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.28% (

0.84)

44.72% (

-0.84)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.69% (

-1.59)

30.3% (

1.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.51% (

-1.94)

66.48% (

1.94)

Score Analysis

Chesterfield 52.8%

Grimsby Town 24.48%

Draw 22.71%

Chesterfield	Draw	Grimsby Town
2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.35) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 1.66% 5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.64% Total : 52.8%	1-1 @ 10.5% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.71%	1-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.31) 0-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.24) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.15) Other @ 3% Total : 24.48%