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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 53.76%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 24.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Colchester United |
| 53.76% ( | 22.22% ( | 24.02% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.99% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.58% ( | 39.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.24% ( | 61.76% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.3% ( | 14.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.11% ( | 42.89% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.33% ( | 29.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.28% ( | 65.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Colchester United |
| 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 1-0 @ 8.36% ( 2-0 @ 8.02% ( 3-1 @ 6.23% ( 3-0 @ 5.12% ( 3-2 @ 3.78% ( 4-1 @ 2.98% ( 4-0 @ 2.46% ( 4-2 @ 1.81% ( 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 5-0 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 3.17% Total : 53.76% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0-0 @ 4.36% ( 3-3 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.22% | 1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0-2 @ 3.22% ( 1-3 @ 2.5% ( 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0-3 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 3.13% Total : 24.02% |