MX23RW : Saturday, December 7 11:33:18| >> :600:402518:402518:
Chesterfield
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Technique Stadium

Chesterfield
3 - 1
Horsham

Grigg (5', 49'), Dobra (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dickson (85')
Hester-Cook (12'), Dickson (90')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Chesterfield and Horsham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 2-5 Chesterfield
Saturday, October 26 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Horsham 1-0 Gorleston
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 57.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Horsham had a probability of 20.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Horsham win it was 1-2 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
ChesterfieldDrawHorsham
57.59% (0.10400000000001 0.1) 21.6% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 20.81% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 57.65% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.53% (0.112 0.11)40.47% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.15% (0.11600000000001 0.12)62.85% (-0.117 -0.12)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.16% (0.067999999999998 0.07)13.84% (-0.068 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.79% (0.136 0.14)41.21% (-0.136 -0.14)
Horsham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.91% (0.0049999999999955 0)33.09% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.32% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)69.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 57.59%
    Horsham 20.81%
    Draw 21.6%
ChesterfieldDrawHorsham
2-1 @ 9.9%
1-0 @ 9.06% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.53% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.9% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.61% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.23% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.92% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.79% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.28% (0.01 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.15% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 57.59%
1-1 @ 10.01% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.58% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.6%
1-2 @ 5.54% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.06% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.8% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.02%
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 20.81%

How you voted: Chesterfield vs Horsham

Chesterfield
100%
Draw
0.0%
Horsham
0.0%
6
rhs 2.0
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5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton146532320323
6Fulham146442119222
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest146441616022
8Aston Villa146442223-122
9Bournemouth146352119221
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1462628151320
11Brentford146262726120
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle145541717020
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd145451715219
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham144371827-915
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester143471928-913
17Crystal Palace142661218-612
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19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves142392236-149
20Southampton1412111130-195


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