Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 57.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Horsham had a probability of 20.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Horsham win it was 1-2 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
Chesterfield	Draw	Horsham
57.59% ( 0.1)	21.6% ( -0.04)	20.81% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 57.65% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.53% (

0.11)

40.47% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.15% (

0.12)

62.85% (

-0.12)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.16% (

0.07)

13.84% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.79% (

0.14)

41.21% (

-0.14)

Horsham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.91% (

33.09% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.32% (

0.01)

69.68% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Chesterfield 57.59%

Horsham 20.81%

Draw 21.6%

Chesterfield	Draw	Horsham
2-1 @ 9.9% 1-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.95% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.27% Total : 57.59%	1-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.6%	1-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.02% 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 20.81%