FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Camping World Community Stadium (Horsham, West Sussex)

Horsham
1 - 0
Dorking

Dickson (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Horsham and Dorking Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Horsham 4-0 Virginia Water
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Last Game: Dorking 1-2 Weymouth
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Horsham had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.41%) and 0-2 (5.64%). The likeliest Horsham win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
HorshamDrawDorking Wanderers
34.23% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)22.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)42.92% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 65.28% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.33% (0.028999999999996 0.03)35.67% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.26% (0.032000000000004 0.03)57.73% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Horsham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.84% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)21.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)54.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.8% (0.028999999999996 0.03)17.2% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.52% (0.048999999999999 0.05)47.48% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Horsham 34.23%
    Dorking Wanderers 42.92%
    Draw 22.85%
HorshamDrawDorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 7.73% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 5.65% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.52%
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 34.23%
1-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.85%
1-2 @ 8.76% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 6.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 5.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.99% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 3.31% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.26% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.46% (0.004 0)
3-4 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 42.92%

rhs 2.0


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