Potential new FA Cup header

FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Camping World Community Stadium (Horsham, West Sussex)

Horsham
4 - 0
Virginia Water

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Horsham and Virginia Water.

Form, Standings, Stats

Horsham

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Horsham 0-0 Woking
Saturday, July 13 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Virginia Water

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Virginia Water 2-1 Ascot United
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Horsham win with a probability of 84.93%. A draw had a probability of 9.7% and a win for Virginia Water had a probability of 5.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Horsham win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 4-0 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.25%), while for a Virginia Water win it was 1-2 (1.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Horsham would win this match.

Result
HorshamDrawVirginia Water
84.93% (-0.041999999999987 -0.04)9.68% (0.017000000000001 0.02)5.38% (0.025 0.03)
Both teams to score 53.2% (0.10700000000001 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.24% (0.030999999999992 0.03)21.76% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
59.44% (0.042999999999999 0.04)40.56% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Horsham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.47% (0.0010000000000048 0)3.53% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
84.66% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)15.34% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Virginia Water Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.15% (0.111 0.11)44.85% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.19% (0.091999999999999 0.09)80.81% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Horsham 84.93%
    Virginia Water 5.38%
    Draw 9.68%
HorshamDrawVirginia Water
3-0 @ 9.87% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.85% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
4-0 @ 8.25% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 7.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 6.61% (0.0040000000000004 0)
5-0 @ 5.51% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.3% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 4.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.012 0.01)
6-0 @ 3.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.65% (0.01 0.01)
6-1 @ 2.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 1.77% (0.006 0.01)
7-0 @ 1.47% (-0.004 -0)
7-1 @ 1.18%
6-2 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 84.93%
1-1 @ 4.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 2.85% (0.01 0.01)
0-0 @ 1.58% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 9.68%
1-2 @ 1.7% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-1 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 5.38%