FA Cup
Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm
4
0
HT :
0
0
FT
The Camping World Community Stadium (Horsham, West Sussex)
Horsham vs Virginia Water - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Horsham win with a probability of 84.93%. A draw had a probability of 9.7% and a win for Virginia Water had a probability of 5.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Horsham win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 4-0 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.25%), while for a Virginia Water win it was 1-2 (1.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Horsham would win this match.
Result
Horsham
84.93%
▼
(-0.05)
Draw
9.68%
▲
(+0.02)
Virginia Water
5.38%
▲
(+0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
53.2%
▲
(+0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5
78.24%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 2.5
21.76%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
59.44%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 3.5
40.56%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 4.5
39.95%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 4.5
60.04%
▼
(-0.05)
Horsham Goals
Over 0.5
96.47%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
3.53%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
84.66%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
15.34%
▲
(+0.01)
Virginia Water Goals
Over 0.5
55.15%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 0.5
44.85%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 1.5
19.19%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 1.5
80.81%
▼
(-0.10)
Score analysis
Horsham
84.93%
Draw
9.68%
Virginia Water
5.38%
Horsham
3-0
@
9.87%
▼
(-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.85% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 8.25% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 7.91% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 6.61% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 5.51% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.02)
6-0 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.02)
6-1 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.01)
7-0 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.01)
7-1 @ 1.18%
Other @ 5.34%
Total : 84.93%
2-0 @ 8.85% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 8.25% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 7.91% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 6.61% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 5.51% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.02)
6-0 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.02)
6-1 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.01)
7-0 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.01)
7-1 @ 1.18%
Other @ 5.34%
Total : 84.93%
Draw
1-1
@
4.25%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 9.68%
2-2 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 9.68%
Virginia Water
1-2
@
1.7%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 5.38%
0-1 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 5.38%