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FA Cup

FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stag Meadow

Virginia Water
4 - 2
Brimscombe & Thrupp

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Virginia Water and Brimscombe & Thrupp.

Form, Standings, Stats

Virginia Water

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Brimscombe & Thrupp

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Virginia Water win with a probability of 51.59%. A win for Brimscombe & Thrupp had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Virginia Water win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.34%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Brimscombe & Thrupp win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Virginia Water would win this match.

Result
Virginia WaterDrawBrimscombe & Thrupp
51.59% (-0.848 -0.85)21.01% (0.231 0.23)27.4% (0.614 0.61)
Both teams to score 68.14% (-0.303 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.72% (-0.62299999999999 -0.62)30.28% (0.621 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.47% (-0.751 -0.75)51.53% (0.749 0.75)
Virginia Water Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.78% (-0.456 -0.46)12.22% (0.454 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.1% (-0.965 -0.97)37.9% (0.963 0.96)
Brimscombe & Thrupp Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.62% (0.057000000000002 0.06)22.37% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.12% (0.084000000000003 0.08)55.87% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Virginia Water 51.59%
    Brimscombe & Thrupp 27.4%
    Draw 21.01%
Virginia WaterDrawBrimscombe & Thrupp
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.34% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-0 @ 6.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 5.75% (0.099 0.1)
3-2 @ 4.75% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.23% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-1 @ 3.33% (-0.117 -0.12)
4-2 @ 2.49% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.23% (-0.082 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-3 @ 1.25% (-0.039 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.05% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-0 @ 0.94% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 51.59%
1-1 @ 8.6% (0.164 0.16)
2-2 @ 6.77% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.73% (0.095 0.1)
3-3 @ 2.37% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 21.01%
1-2 @ 6.44% (0.133 0.13)
0-1 @ 4.09% (0.149 0.15)
2-3 @ 3.38% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.22% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.06% (0.117 0.12)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.061 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.27% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.2% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 27.4%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Virginia Water
rhs 2.0


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