Virginia Water

4 - 2

Brimscombe & Thrupp

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Virginia Water win with a probability of 51.59%. A win for Brimscombe & Thrupp had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Virginia Water win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.34%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Brimscombe & Thrupp win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Virginia Water would win this match.