FA Cup
Aug 3, 2024 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stag Meadow

Virginia Water vs Brimscombe & Thrupp - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Virginia Water

Brimscombe & Thrupp

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Virginia Water win with a probability of 51.59%. A win for Brimscombe & Thrupp had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Virginia Water win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.34%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Brimscombe & Thrupp win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Virginia Water would win this match.

Result

Virginia Water 51.59% (-0.85)
Draw 21.01% (+0.24)
Brimscombe & Thrupp 27.4% (+0.62)

Both Teams to Score: 

68.14% (-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5 69.72% (-0.63)
Under 2.5 30.28% (+0.63)
Over 3.5 48.47% (-0.76)
Under 3.5 51.53% (+0.75)
Over 4.5 29.35% (-0.68)
Under 4.5 70.65% (+0.68)

Virginia Water Goals

Over 0.5 87.78% (-0.46)
Under 0.5 12.22% (+0.46)
Over 1.5 62.1% (-0.97)
Under 1.5 37.9% (+0.97)

Brimscombe & Thrupp Goals

Over 0.5 77.62% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 22.37% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 44.12% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 55.87% (-0.09)

Score analysis

Virginia Water 51.59%
Draw 21.01%
Brimscombe & Thrupp 27.4%
Virginia Water
2-1 @ 9.04% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.34% (-0.11)
2-0 @ 6.04% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 5.75% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 4.75% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 4.23% (-0.08)
4-1 @ 3.33% (-0.12)
4-2 @ 2.49% (-0.09)
4-0 @ 2.23% (-0.09)
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.08)
4-3 @ 1.25% (-0.04)
5-2 @ 1.05% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 51.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.6% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 6.77% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 2.73% (+0.10)
3-3 @ 2.37% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 21.01%
Brimscombe & Thrupp
1-2 @ 6.44% (+0.14)
0-1 @ 4.09% (+0.15)
2-3 @ 3.38% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.22% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 3.06% (+0.12)
0-3 @ 1.53% (+0.07)
2-4 @ 1.27% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.2% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 27.4%

Form Data