National League South | Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Westhumble Playing Fields

Dorking
2 - 1
St Albans City

Murphy (51', 60')
Bowerman (20'), McManus (55'), Camp (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Castiglione (25')
Johnson (60'), Rasulo (65'), Ralfe (81'), Banton (90')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dorking Wanderers and St Albans City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-0 Dorking
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in National League South

St Albans City

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 1-2 Chesham
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 47.91%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dorking Wanderers in this match.

Result
Dorking WanderersDrawSt Albans City
47.91% (0.388 0.39)22.84% (-0.196 -0.2)29.24% (-0.193 -0.19)
Both teams to score 62.72% (0.577 0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.02% (0.818 0.82)37.97% (-0.82 -0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.76% (0.868 0.87)60.24% (-0.87 -0.87)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.8% (0.453 0.45)16.19% (-0.455 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.32% (0.82 0.82)45.68% (-0.82 -0.82)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (0.28399999999999 0.28)25.15% (-0.287 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.13% (0.393 0.39)59.87% (-0.395 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Dorking Wanderers 47.91%
    St Albans City 29.24%
    Draw 22.84%
Dorking WanderersDrawSt Albans City
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 7.42% (-0.178 -0.18)
2-0 @ 6.75% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.65% (0.085 0.09)
3-0 @ 4.1% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.9% (0.091 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.57% (0.077 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.041 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.78% (0.068 0.07)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 47.91%
1-1 @ 10.23% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 6.43% (0.052 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.07% (-0.162 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.8% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.84%
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-1 @ 5.62% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-2 @ 3.88% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.25% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.048 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.01 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 29.24%

Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
St Albans City
1-0
Dorking
Jeffers (69')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Dorking
3-2
St Albans City
Briggs (11'), Rutherford (80'), McShane (90+3')
Jeffers (45' pen., 51')
May 18, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
St Albans City
0-0
Dorking
May 2, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 38
Dorking
0-0
St Albans City
Apr 25, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 42
Dorking
P-P
St Albans City