Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 36.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Chesham United in this match.

Result
St Albans City	Draw	Chesham United
36.9% ( -0.23)	24.75% ( 0.08)	38.36% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 58.67% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.52% (

-0.39)

44.48% (

0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.15% (

-0.38)

66.85% (

0.38)

St Albans City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.22% (

-0.3)

23.78% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.06% (

-0.43)

57.94% (

0.43)

Chesham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.98% (

-0.1)

23.02% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.17% (

-0.15)

56.83% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

St Albans City 36.9%

Chesham United 38.36%

Draw 24.74%

St Albans City	Draw	Chesham United
2-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 5.65% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.06% Total : 36.9%	1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.74%	1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.15% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 38.36%