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FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Hartsdown Park

Margate
1 - 1
Horsham

Olutade (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ogunwamide (71')
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Margate and Horsham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Margate

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Last Game: Bognor Regis 0-4 Margate
Saturday, September 14 at 1pm in FA Cup
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Horsham

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Last Game: Horsham 1-0 Dorking
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Horsham win with a probability of 60.71%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Margate had a probability of 19.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Horsham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.53%) and 0-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a Margate win it was 2-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result
MargateDrawHorsham
19.23% (0.021000000000001 0.02)20.06% (0.004999999999999 0)60.71% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
Both teams to score 60.5% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.48% (0.007000000000005 0.01)35.52% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.43% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)57.57% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Margate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.26% (0.025999999999996 0.03)31.74% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.84% (0.027999999999999 0.03)68.16% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Horsham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.62% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)11.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.89% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)36.11% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Margate 19.23%
    Horsham 60.71%
    Draw 20.06%
MargateDrawHorsham
2-1 @ 5.17% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 4.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 2.38% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-1 @ 1.98% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 19.23%
1-1 @ 9.01% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 20.06%
1-2 @ 9.79% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 8.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 7.09% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 6.18% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-3 @ 4.07% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-4 @ 3.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 3.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 2.21%
1-5 @ 1.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-5 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
2-5 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 60.71%