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FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 1pm UK
Nyewood Lane

Bognor Regis
0 - 4
Margate

FT(HT: 0-3)
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Bognor Regis Town and Margate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bognor Regis Town

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Last Game: Aylesbury 0-3 Bognor Regis
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Margate

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Last Game: Hayes & Yeading 1-3 Margate
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bognor Regis Town win with a probability of 52.05%. A win for Margate had a probability of 26.42% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bognor Regis Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.72%) and 1-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Margate win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Bognor Regis TownDrawMargate
52.05% (-0.161 -0.16)21.53% (0.0019999999999989 0)26.42% (0.159 0.16)
Both teams to score 65.17% (0.149 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.24% (0.131 0.13)33.76% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.41% (0.14599999999999 0.15)55.59% (-0.144 -0.14)
Bognor Regis Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.72% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)13.28% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.9% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)40.09% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Margate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.15% (0.179 0.18)24.85% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.56% (0.247 0.25)59.44% (-0.246 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Bognor Regis Town 52.05%
    Margate 26.42%
    Draw 21.53%
Bognor Regis TownDrawMargate
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.72% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-0 @ 6.66% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.53% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.39% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.28% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.21% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.28% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-3 @ 1.03% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 52.05%
1-1 @ 9.28% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.52% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.3% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.04% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 21.53%
1-2 @ 6.46% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 4.6% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.2% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.03% (0.025 0.02)
1-3 @ 3% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.013 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.015 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 26.42%